Gentle visitor to this website, if perchance you have been led,
by hysterical media reports, or by statements of uninformed and over-ambitious
politicians,
or by the mendacious absurdities of the United
Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) or of those of posturing "activists"
such as the Al Gores or
David Suzukis (and friends)
of this world, to believe
that climate change is unprecedented or extreme, or even clearly
identifiable, or that it threatens plant or animal species,
or that it leads to more frequent or more severe storms or hurricanes,
or that it is critically dependent on carbon
dioxide emissions, whether by human agency or otherwise (high
carbon dioxide levels are just as likely an effect, rather than a
cause, of temperature increase, and whatever global warming may have occurred
in the period 1950-2000 may well have been due to
CFCs!)
or that Kyoto and other similar
agreements will do anything other than
waste resources
on a massive scale
to absolutely no purpose -- that, in a word, we should panic --
then please, I urge you, read and reflect upon any one
or all of the following:
Green Hell: How Environmentalists Plan to Ruin Your Life and What You Can Do to Stop Them
Steven Milloy
Barnes & Noble (2009)
The Climate Caper
Garth W. Paltridge (a real atmospheric physicist who speaks well-mannered good sense)
Connor Court Publishing (2009)
Heaven & Earth: Global Warming -- The Missing Science
Ian Plimer (a real climatologist writing about real climatology)
Connor Court Publishing (2009)
The Deniers
Lawrence Solomon (a long-time environmentalist who only wants the truth to be told)
Richard Vigilante Books (2008)
Climate Confusion
Roy Spencer (another real climatologist writing about real climatology)
Encounter Books (2008)
Unstoppable Global Warming Every 1,500 Years
S. Fred Singer & Dennis T. Avery (two real environmental scientists)
Rowman & Littlefield (2007)
State of Fear
Michael Crichton
Avon Books (2007)
Meltdown: The Predictable Distortion of Global Warming by Scientists, Politicians & the Media
Patrick J. Michaels
CATO Institute (2004)
Taken by Storm: The Troubled Science, Policy & Politics of Global Warming
Christopher Essex & Ross McKitrick (two real mathematical modellers)
Key Porter (2002)
The Greenhouse Delusion: A Critique of "Climate Change 2001"
Vincent Gray
Multi-Science Publishing (2001)
The Crichton book is "only" a novel, in fact a mere thriller,
but it includes interesting charts from stated sources, and then at the end
an Author's Message, two Appendices, and an annotated bibliography.
It begins with a pair of memorable quotes:
"There is something fascinating about science.
One gets such wholesale returns of conjecture out of such
a trifling investment of fact."
[Mark Twain]
"Within any important issue, there are always aspects
no one wishes to discuss."
[George Orwell]
If you don't have time for a book, go to the
Climate Audit
of Steve McIntyre, a self-taught Canadian climatologist who is probably by now
the most knowledgeable and reliable person in the field.
Or try
this
or this
or this
or this
or this
or this.
Or this excellent tutorial.
Or this and
this
and this!
At the beginning of the latter article, you will find, in shiny red,
a disclaimer, apparently posted by the Council of the American Physical Society,
that is apparently, in three respects, a lie -- see the
author's response.
But in prevarication, the American Physical Society is in good company: see
below, the discussion of Wikipedia.
Meanwhile, the American Chemical Society's editor-in-chief has
succeeded in disgracing himself,
not least in the eyes of his fellow members.
Perhaps you only watch films. In that case there is a marvellous antidote to
the propaganda "documentary" An Inconvenient Truth available, entitled
Not Evil Just Wrong,
available along with many other materials at their
website.
In fact, it
turns out that,
between the appearance of An Inconvenient Truth in 2006
and mid-2009, the decrease in average global temperature
was 0.74 degrees Fahrenheit, almost exactly the increase claimed by the IPCC
for the entire 20th century!
Another marvellous (and funny) dose of common sense can be found in
this short film.
Sometimes there is a little good news:
in some truly advanced countries (America, Australia, the Czech Republic),
a majority of the population have resisted being brain-washed about "global warming".
If you really believe it's got warmer the last few years (when it hasn't),
then it should be easy to believe it's got cooler (when it has).
And if you're worried about the melting
arctic
or antarctic
icecaps,
then you can
relax,
at least
for now,
and probably
for a long time to come.
Nor, you'll be glad to know, is the Sahara desert spreading; in fact, it's
greening up.
Meanwhile, the Himalayan glaciers, despite the gossip-mongering of the IPCC, are doing
fine,
just fine.
Though some "scientists" will resort to any
sophistries
to distort or deny the meteorological evidence, to spread panic -- alas,
sophistry after
sophistry after
sophistry ...
And the sophistries are not the biggest worry: it is the deliberate egregious
suppression of dissent
by vested academic interests, the chattering classes of climatology.
(Of course all talk of global warming or cooling should be taken with a grain of salt,
since the "average" temperature results from some sort of integral over a set
of sites at which actual temperature is measured:
these sites are not uniformly distributed (half of them are in the United
States, for example, very few of them on the oceans of the world),
many of them give results biased by their surroundings
(in a city, on the ocean),
they are not at a uniform elevation, and the measurement
methodology varies from site to site,
and has varied over time at individual sites. So it's hard to talk precisely about
the "average" global temperature today, let alone
the "average" global temperature over a year,
let alone over a range of years in the past,
let alone
a "projected" "average" global temperature in the future. My
own favorites among global warming articles are the ones that say
well, yes, it may be getting colder, but that's really all part of global warming.)
If more generally you think that to discover the truth about climate change,
all you need to do is to consult Wikipedia,
think again ... and
again.
Sometimes you find the raw data are
falsified,
apparently by accident, but who knows?
In fact, it seems from the recent
ClimateGage revelations
that "scientists" have systematically and deliberately tampered with or suppressed data
that might conflict with their bias, including the "scientists" that
contribute to Wikipedia.
Here is the most thoughtful and careful article on
ClimateGate
that I have found so far;
another excellent analysis can be found
here.
Of course, it has been clear for some time that the orthodox believers, those who adopt
catastrophic anthropogenic global warming as an article of faith,
avoid discussion
or suppress it
altogether.
They don't want to understand that without debate, without critical thinking,
there can be no science.
Organizations that one would hope would be trying to be objective
don't seem to try at all:
MIT,
the Global Humanitarian Forum,
the Obama administration.
If you wish, you can sign a
declaration
on climate change
that advocates less panic and more science.
Perhaps you only seek amusement,
here
or there
or somewhere
or wherever.
To understand better why so many people view
the climate idealogues with disdain, read
Rex Murphy's
light-hearted (but eloquently disdainful) discussion of Armageddon Theory.
In the same vein is
Gerald Warner's
column in the Daily Telegraph.
Of course, truth is humour, humour truth ...